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Rebalancing Your Foresight Portfolio
Is it time to rebalance your team’s view of the future threats and opportunities for your organization?

Richard Lum
Feb 24, 20231 min read


Can You Envision the Machines?
Imagine the world around us in a different way

Richard Lum
Feb 10, 20231 min read


Hurricanes, Strategic Shifts, and the Hard Work of Foresight
The thing that makes foresight tough, that can make the work we do seem like a Sisyphean existence, has to do with changing minds.

Richard Lum
Sep 30, 20221 min read


Opening the Aperture
To do good foresight work, especially in today’s turbulent context, one of the things we need is more information about the wider world.

Richard Lum
Sep 23, 20221 min read


The Future is an Expanding Space
“The future” is an expanding space of possibilities, not a contracting one. This is why we typically talk about the futures ahead of us,...

Richard Lum
Sep 9, 20221 min read


10 Things #4: Automation and Autonomization
Number four on our list of ten things that your upcoming scenarios or forecasts need to account for is machines doing things without us. ...

Richard Lum
Sep 2, 20221 min read


Shifting Your Model
Thinking critically about the future is not simply identifying events that are possible. It is also about shifting between the best models.

Richard Lum
Aug 19, 20222 min read


10 Things #3: Synthetic Biology
Synthetic biology is an amazing (or terrifying, depending upon your point of view) new field that you need to understand.

Richard Lum
Jul 22, 20221 min read


Knowing What Kind of Foresight You Need
Now that so many more of us are becoming familiar with foresight, we have an opportunity to be more discerning about what we need.

Richard Lum
Jul 15, 20222 min read


10 Things Your 10-Year Scenarios Need #2: Geopolitical Shifts
Geopolitics, far from being only the concern of national policy makers, can and does dramatically affect all of us

Richard Lum
Jul 8, 20221 min read


10 Things You Need to Include in Your 10-Year Forecasts
10 important trends every long-term scenario needs to include.

Richard Lum
Jul 1, 20221 min read


Not Challenging Enough
There are a number of very serious, long-run transitions underway that are reshaping our world in fundamental ways. Climate change is...

Richard Lum
Jun 27, 20221 min read


Update: July Training Workshop
Bottom Line: the July 25th workshop at Bard College has been rescheduled to October 11. Due to scheduling conflicts with other projects...

Richard Lum
Jun 25, 20221 min read


Disinformation is Not a Future Problem
In ten years’ time, “disinformation” is not going to be the headline. Something else will. Something else will dominate people’s...

Richard Lum
Jun 20, 20222 min read


Self-Deploying Supply Points
Bottom Line: Military logistics of modern life may see increased automation, capabilities, efficiency, and few people Source: The Nippon...

Richard Lum
May 27, 20222 min read


The 3 Easiest Ways to Link Foresight to Strategy
It is easy to apply foresight to existing strategy conversations. Here we quickly look at three simple ways to link the two.

Richard Lum
Apr 27, 20223 min read


The Simple Organizational Benefits of Foresight Training
Foresight training transforms scattered staff insights into a shared organizational understanding of emerging threats and opportunities.

Richard Lum
Apr 18, 20224 min read


Competing for National Security and Resilience Partnerships
Bottom Line: the options – and competition – for national security and resilience partnerships will grow in the years ahead. Introduction...

Richard Lum
Apr 11, 20223 min read


The DAO of Foresight
Bottom Line: foresight helps organizations anticipate today more of what is possible tomorrow. This is the way…

Richard Lum
Mar 25, 20224 min read


The US Needs a Vision for the Future
The challenge of being an incumbent, of being king of the hill, is that you don’t want change. You like things the way they are. The...

Richard Lum
Mar 18, 20224 min read
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